Dr. Chhoda explores the new volatility that is emerging in all markets from stocks to currencies and bonds. This shows investors are bracing for turbulence not just on election day, but for the ensuing weeks as well. The fear according to Bloomberg news, is that results from the Nov. 3 vote won’t be decisive enough that a winner emerges without a protracted legal battle.
If this happens, the potential for political chaos and prolonged uncertainty is seen as a bigger risk for equity markets than who actually wins the vote, according to UBS AG.
“The election outcome itself, once you know it, that would have meaningful but not an oversize impact on the market,” said Stuart Kaiser, the bank’s head of derivatives research. “But the prospect of it becoming a complete mess is another element that people don’t really know how to price.”
TABLE OF CONTENTS
0:00 A Political Chaos
2:04 Traders Fear Volatility After Election Day
4:10 An Interesting Article from Bloomberg
6:00 Impact of the Election’s Outcome
8:01 A Tail Risk
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